Marquette Law School Poll: September 30 - October 4, 2020

Registered voters

This file contains registered voter crosstabulations of each non-demographic question with variables for sex, age, education, income, party identification with leaning independents, party identification without leaners, marital status, race and ethnicity, religious service attendance, religious affiliation, born again or evangelical identification, political ideology, and region of the state. To calculate the numeric size of a response, multiply the percent by the subsample size, indicated in the “n” column. Statistics for very small samples (such as “Don’t Know” responses) have very high margins of error and should be disregarded.

Note: questions Q32 - Q37 were added to the survey for October 2-4, after news emerged of President Trump’s positive COVID-19 diagnosis.

Q1: Follow politics

Some people seem to follow what's going on in politics most of the time, whether there's an election going on or not. Others aren't that interested. Would you say you follow what's going on in politics most of the time, some of the time, only now and then, or hardly at all?
Most of the time Some of the time Only now and then Hardly at all Don't know n
sex
Male 69 18 6 5 1 390
Female 62 22 10 6 0 415
age
18-29 43 33 16 9 0 119
30-44 57 25 9 9 0 180
45-59 71 16 7 4 1 189
60+ 75 15 6 4 0 309
education
Not HS 41 13 38 9 0 27
HS 54 26 11 8 1 209
Some Coll 61 24 8 7 0 157
AA 62 22 11 4 0 100
BA+ 79 14 3 4 1 303
income
Under $40k 51 21 15 12 0 193
$40k to $74k 63 26 9 2 0 191
$75k up 75 14 6 5 1 297
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 68 16 9 6 0 231
Independent 66 19 8 6 0 334
Democrat 63 25 8 4 1 230
Other/None 36 10 0 29 20 10
party ID, leaners separate
Rep 68 16 9 6 0 231
Lean Rep 65 21 8 6 0 127
Ind 50 27 12 9 0 78
Lean Dem 76 13 6 5 0 129
Dem 63 25 8 4 1 230
Other/None 36 10 0 29 20 10
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 67 18 9 6 0 358
Independent 50 27 12 9 0 78
Democrat 68 21 7 4 0 359
Other/None 36 10 0 29 20 10
marital status
Married 74 16 5 5 0 492
Widow/Div/Sep 56 29 9 5 0 177
Never Married 44 26 19 10 2 126
NA/Ref 76 11 0 13 0 10
race and ethnicity
White 69 19 7 6 0 649
Black 50 25 20 4 0 35
Hispanic 55 18 17 11 0 51
Other 47 35 12 5 1 55
religious service attendance
More than once a week 69 17 11 3 0 56
Once a week 69 18 7 6 0 191
Once or twice a month 79 13 3 4 0 109
A few times a year 68 20 6 5 1 143
Seldom 62 20 13 5 0 131
Never 52 27 11 9 0 162
Don't know 36 32 11 0 21 7
religious preference
Born again Protestant 70 21 7 2 0 151
Mainline Protestant 62 21 9 7 1 200
Roman Catholic 69 17 8 5 0 227
No religion 65 21 9 5 0 154
Other religion 53 22 9 16 0 54
ideology
Very conservative 79 10 2 7 0 75
Conservative 69 19 8 4 0 224
Moderate 54 26 12 7 1 256
Liberal 72 18 3 7 0 150
Very liberal 83 12 2 3 0 61
Don't know 41 18 26 10 5 28
labor union membership
respondent 71 22 2 3 0 69
another household member 70 22 7 1 0 54
nobody in household 65 20 9 6 1 665
Don't know 29 0 36 36 0 9
region of Wisconsin
MKE City 54 16 19 9 1 70
Rest of MKE 73 14 8 4 0 250
MSN 67 25 4 4 0 147
GB/A 64 23 6 6 1 152
Rest of state 58 22 9 9 1 185

Q2: Chances of voting

What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2020 general election for president, Congress, and other offices -- are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely to vote, are the chances 50-50, don't you think you will vote, or have you already voted either by absentee ballot or early in person voting?
Absolutely certain Very likely 50-50 Will not vote Already voted Don't know n
sex
Male 76 9 3 2 9 0 390
Female 75 7 3 1 14 0 415
age
18-29 84 10 2 1 3 0 119
30-44 72 9 6 3 9 1 180
45-59 80 6 3 3 8 1 189
60+ 72 8 2 0 18 0 309
education
Not HS 54 31 3 0 5 7 27
HS 77 10 5 0 8 0 209
Some Coll 73 12 4 2 10 0 157
AA 77 7 3 2 11 0 100
BA+ 78 3 1 2 15 0 303
income
Under $40k 66 15 6 2 10 1 193
$40k to $74k 82 7 2 1 9 0 191
$75k up 79 6 2 0 12 1 297
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 83 9 3 0 5 0 231
Independent 75 8 3 2 11 0 334
Democrat 70 7 3 1 19 1 230
Other/None 46 0 17 5 33 0 10
party ID, leaners separate
Rep 83 9 3 0 5 0 231
Lean Rep 81 7 3 2 7 0 127
Ind 72 12 2 7 5 1 78
Lean Dem 70 8 4 0 18 0 129
Dem 70 7 3 1 19 1 230
Other/None 46 0 17 5 33 0 10
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 82 8 3 1 6 0 358
Independent 72 12 2 7 5 1 78
Democrat 70 7 3 0 18 0 359
Other/None 46 0 17 5 33 0 10
marital status
Married 76 6 3 1 12 0 492
Widow/Div/Sep 72 12 3 2 11 0 177
Never Married 80 10 3 0 6 2 126
NA/Ref 48 0 0 9 43 0 10
race and ethnicity
White 77 7 3 1 12 0 649
Black 78 10 1 1 10 0 35
Hispanic 75 8 4 5 4 4 51
Other 67 11 9 2 9 1 55
religious service attendance
More than once a week 69 13 6 0 13 0 56
Once a week 75 5 2 2 16 1 191
Once or twice a month 77 10 2 0 11 0 109
A few times a year 83 8 3 0 6 0 143
Seldom 76 10 2 0 12 0 131
Never 72 7 5 4 10 1 162
Don't know 79 0 21 0 0 0 7
religious preference
Born again Protestant 77 12 1 0 10 0 151
Mainline Protestant 76 9 0 2 12 1 200
Roman Catholic 77 5 4 0 13 0 227
No religion 73 8 4 4 11 0 154
Other religion 76 7 12 0 5 0 54
ideology
Very conservative 83 9 3 0 5 0 75
Conservative 84 7 2 0 8 0 224
Moderate 68 9 4 3 15 1 256
Liberal 75 7 2 0 15 0 150
Very liberal 77 7 1 1 14 0 61
Don't know 58 16 19 1 6 0 28
labor union membership
respondent 76 4 2 0 19 0 69
another household member 88 7 0 0 4 0 54
nobody in household 74 9 4 2 11 0 665
Don't know 88 8 0 0 4 0 9
region of Wisconsin
MKE City 67 12 5 2 11 3 70
Rest of MKE 88 4 1 0 7 0 250
MSN 66 10 4 1 18 0 147
GB/A 73 9 5 1 12 0 152
Rest of state 71 9 3 3 12 0 185

Q3: Economy over last year

Over the past year, do you feel the economy has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same?
Gotten better Gotten worse Stayed the same Don't know n
sex
Male 27 47 21 4 390
Female 23 59 14 3 415
age
18-29 17 64 16 3 119
30-44 26 53 18 4 180
45-59 31 50 16 2 189
60+ 24 52 20 4 309
education
Not HS 8 56 17 19 27
HS 20 60 17 4 209
Some Coll 23 47 24 5 157
AA 36 44 16 5 100
BA+ 27 56 16 1 303
income
Under $40k 18 61 17 3 193
$40k to $74k 33 52 13 1 191
$75k up 26 51 19 4 297
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 48 28 19 5 231
Independent 21 54 21 3 334
Democrat 8 77 13 2 230
Other/None 24 48 2 15 10
party ID, leaners separate
Rep 48 28 19 5 231
Lean Rep 43 33 18 5 127
Ind 19 49 29 2 78
Lean Dem 1 78 18 3 129
Dem 8 77 13 2 230
Other/None 24 48 2 15 10
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 46 30 19 5 358
Independent 19 49 29 2 78
Democrat 6 77 15 2 359
Other/None 24 48 2 15 10
marital status
Married 30 49 17 4 492
Widow/Div/Sep 20 55 20 4 177
Never Married 13 65 19 3 126
NA/Ref 46 51 0 4 10
race and ethnicity
White 25 53 18 4 649
Black 12 71 17 0 35
Hispanic 31 47 21 2 51
Other 20 60 18 1 55
religious service attendance
More than once a week 32 47 20 0 56
Once a week 31 41 22 5 191
Once or twice a month 20 60 16 4 109
A few times a year 29 53 17 1 143
Seldom 23 50 21 6 131
Never 18 69 10 2 162
Don't know 11 0 68 21 7
religious preference
Born again Protestant 24 46 28 2 151
Mainline Protestant 25 52 18 5 200
Roman Catholic 27 51 16 6 227
No religion 17 67 15 1 154
Other religion 43 43 14 1 54
ideology
Very conservative 43 42 13 2 75
Conservative 40 31 23 7 224
Moderate 18 56 22 3 256
Liberal 15 75 9 0 150
Very liberal 3 87 9 0 61
Don't know 16 49 22 12 28
labor union membership
respondent 21 67 12 0 69
another household member 28 52 20 0 54
nobody in household 25 52 19 4 665
Don't know 43 49 8 0 9
region of Wisconsin
MKE City 12 69 14 4 70
Rest of MKE 34 45 18 3 250
MSN 21 62 15 3 147
GB/A 21 56 18 4 152
Rest of state 25 49 22 4 185

Q4: Economy over next year

Looking ahead, over the next year do you expect the economy to get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
Get better Get worse Stay the same Don't know n
sex
Male 50 15 22 14 390
Female 37 21 28 13 415
age
18-29 44 21 28 8 119
30-44 37 21 27 15 180
45-59 44 16 23 16 189
60+ 45 16 25 14 309
education
Not HS 30 11 37 21 27
HS 43 19 24 14 209
Some Coll 43 24 24 9 157
AA 39 17 23 21 100
BA+ 45 14 27 14 303
income
Under $40k 33 21 32 14 193
$40k to $74k 53 18 20 8 191
$75k up 47 16 24 14 297
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 62 9 15 14 231
Independent 34 23 29 13 334
Democrat 38 18 31 13 230
Other/None 32 28 6 27 10
party ID, leaners separate
Rep 62 9 15 14 231
Lean Rep 53 7 24 16 127
Ind 29 29 23 17 78
Lean Dem 17 36 37 9 129
Dem 38 18 31 13 230
Other/None 32 28 6 27 10
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 59 8 18 15 358
Independent 29 29 23 17 78
Democrat 31 24 33 12 359
Other/None 32 28 6 27 10
marital status
Married 44 17 24 15 492
Widow/Div/Sep 38 20 26 15 177
Never Married 47 17 31 6 126
NA/Ref 50 29 6 4 10
race and ethnicity
White 44 17 25 14 649
Black 50 20 13 17 35
Hispanic 38 20 33 9 51
Other 30 23 36 11 55
religious service attendance
More than once a week 42 24 27 5 56
Once a week 46 14 21 18 191
Once or twice a month 52 12 23 12 109
A few times a year 41 20 28 11 143
Seldom 46 13 27 14 131
Never 35 23 26 15 162
Don't know 21 32 47 0 7
religious preference
Born again Protestant 42 22 21 14 151
Mainline Protestant 46 15 28 11 200
Roman Catholic 48 17 21 14 227
No religion 34 20 32 13 154
Other religion 38 9 32 20 54
ideology
Very conservative 71 6 11 12 75
Conservative 54 14 18 15 224
Moderate 38 22 29 11 256
Liberal 31 20 33 16 150
Very liberal 16 26 41 16 61
Don't know 51 7 21 21 28
labor union membership
respondent 38 21 23 16 69
another household member 36 28 13 23 54
nobody in household 43 17 27 13 665
Don't know 93 0 0 7 9
region of Wisconsin
MKE City 42 19 26 12 70
Rest of MKE 48 13 27 12 250
MSN 35 18 31 16 147
GB/A 45 22 19 12 152
Rest of state 42 19 23 15 185

Q5: Trump’s overall job